Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,617$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(266 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,969.9}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 72.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,969.9\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $49$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(1.53 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{54.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 56.3)}}\) (asimptote \(54.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $579$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $106,108$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(566 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{523,003.0}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 123.4)}}\) (asimptote \(523,003.0\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,102$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(30.5 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,261.9}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 82.3)}}\) (asimptote \(4,261.9\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $48,961$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,292$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(2.85 \times 10^{0.035t}\) (doubling rate \(8.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,211.3}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 86.9)}}\) (asimptote \(6,211.3\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $114$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(0.388 \times 10^{0.030t}\) (doubling rate \(10.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{123.4}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 71.7)}}\) (asimptote \(123.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,215$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,027$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(146 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,028.3}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 81.5)}}\) (asimptote \(8,028.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $135$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(10.3 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{437.5}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 121.0)}}\) (asimptote \(437.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,031$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,141$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(822 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{119,847.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 102.5)}}\) (asimptote \(119,847.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,365$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(75.8 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,241$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,664$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(89.9 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,690.0}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 64.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,690.0\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(1.54 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.3\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,117$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,076$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(1.32 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,738.2}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 60.4)}}\) (asimptote \(12,738.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $861$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(168 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{807.9}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 42.8)}}\) (asimptote \(807.9\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,541$ on 2020-06-23
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,849$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(121 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,192.9}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 73.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,192.9\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $39$ on 2020-06-23
Best fit exponential: \(0.964 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{107.9}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 110.4)}}\) (asimptote \(107.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,703$ on 2020-06-23